Football Betting

Wyoming upsets No. 11 UNLV

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

02/04/2012 - Laramie, WY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Leonard Washington and Francisco Cruz netted 16 points apiece as Wyoming upset No. 11 UNLV, 68-66, on Saturday.

Luke Martinez added 15 points and Adam Waddell contributed 14 for Wyoming (18-5, 4-3 Mountain West), which won for the fourth time in six games.

Quintrell Thomas paced the Runnin' Rebels with 15 points, while Oscar Bellfield and Anthony Marshall each scored 12. Mike Moser had 11 points and 11 rebounds for UNLV (21-4, 5-2), which shot 49 percent from the floor but made just 3-of-14 shots from beyond the arc.

Wyoming trailed by a score of 11-9 after Bellfield's three-pointer five minutes into the first half, but answered with seven straight points, including five by Cruz, to jump out to a 16-11 advantage.

That lead stretched to 27-19 with less than seven minutes remaining in the half before Thomas reeled off five points in an 8-0 spurt to knot the game at 27.

It remained a one-possession game over the next 3 1/2 minutes until the Cowboys scored the final seven points of the half to take a 42-36 lead into the break.

The Cowboys' lead teetered between four and six points over the opening 4 1/2 minutes of the second half until an 11-4 swing by UNLV put them ahead, 53-52, with under 11 minutes to play.

The lead then changed hands two times before a 13-4 run by Wyoming gave them their largest lead of the game at 67-59.

Marshall put an end to the run with a jumper, but neither team recorded a basket over the next three-plus minutes until Marshall's layup cut the deficit to four with two minutes left in the game.

Each team swapped 1-of-2 free throws to make it 68-64, and Thomas' dunk brought UNLV within two with 53 seconds left and after a timeout, Martinez's three-pointer rimmed out.

UNLV came down with the rebound and took it down the court, but Marshall's game-tying driving layup was no good and UNLV failed to convert on the tip-in to give Wyoming the win.

Game Notes

Wyoming improved to 13-0 this season when leading at the half...UNLV holds a 28-15 lead in the all-time series, but Wyoming holds a 12-8 advantage in Laramie...UNLV held a 28-21 advantage on the glass.


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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

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